- The agreement by oil producing countries to cut about 2 million barrels of crude oil off market has officially started on January 1, 2017
- OPEC members have agreed to cut 1.2 million barrels of oil while non-OPEC members like Russia and Mexico agreed to cut 558,000 barrels
- What this means for Nigeria and other commodity-reliant nations is more revenue in 2017
An end might finally be in sight for the Nigeria economic recession as OPEC commenced production cut.
The agreement by the oil producing nations to cut about 2 million barrels of crude oil off the market commenced yesterday, January 1, 2017, giving hopes of more revenue for Nigeria and other commodity-reliant nations in 2017.
Both OPEC and non-OPEC members have agreed to cut production as the international market was believed to be flooded in 2016.
The 13-member Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) on November 30, in Vienna rectified their Algiers plan to commence a cut of 1.2 million barrels of oil by January 1, 2017, a move supported by the non-OPEC members where they also agreed to cut about 558,000 barrels in December, 2016.
Russia, the biggest oil exporter outside OPEC, alongside 10 other countries such as Mexico, Oman and Azerbaijan, agreed on the deal in Vienna.
Reuters said Brent rose 52 percent in 2016 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) climbed around 45 percent, the largest annual gains since 2009, when the benchmarks rose 78 percent and 71 percent respectively.
Oil prices have slumped since the summer of 2014 from above $100 a barrel. The price rout, due to an oversupply thanks in part to the US shale oil revolution, was accentuated later in 2014 when Saudi Arabia rejected any deal by OPEC to cut output and instead fought for market share.
OPEC produced about 33.60 million barrelsin 2016.
Professor of Economics, Ode Ojowu, recently urged the federal government of Nigeria not to be deceived by the rise in oil price and abandon the diversification of the economy, saying the money from crude oil sales was not reliable and very unpredictable.
The United States Energy Agency said OPEC member countries produced about 40 percent of the world’s crude oil. Equally important to global prices, OPEC’s oil exports represent about 60 percent of the total petroleum traded internationally. Because of this market share, OPEC’s actions can, and do, influence international oil prices.
In particular, indications of changes in crude oil production from Saudi Arabia, OPEC’s largest producer, frequently affect oil prices.
According to Daily Trust, the Secretary General of OPEC, Mohammed S. Barkindo recently said most analysts did not project that.
Barkindo said: “The shale revolution that swept across North America, particularly the United States, would bring supplies to such very high levels that we saw. And of course, OPEC member countries ramped up production in 2014 in order to stabilise prices.
"The joint action from both sides raised supply to very high levels and began to impact on stocks on inventories.
“So those inventories started rising gradually. In the industry we have a five-year average and once stocks are above those five-year averages, then prices begin to reduce.”
He said: “The focus now is how to rebalance the market and to do this, we have to withdraw supplies to the market in order to accelerate this stock growth, to restore this balance and it is only then that you will be able to achieve the equilibrium price.”
Meanwhile, several groups including the Nigeria Labour Congress (NLC) and Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) have advised the federal government of Nigeria on how to end the economic recession.
The Peoples Democratic Party urged Federal Government to increase money supply, raise disposable income and reduce taxation, which has led to high inflation and unstable prices in the money market
No comments:
Post a Comment